Nassim Nicholas Taleb — "Avoid professions where you are paid for your opinions rather than for results."
Avoid professions where you are paid for your opinions rather than for results.
Avoid professions where you are paid for your opinions rather than for results.
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"If you have more than one reason to do something (choose a doctor or veterinarian, hire a gardener or an employee, marry a person, go on a trip), just don't do it. Obvious decisions (robust to error) …"
"The only way to be truly free is to be financially independent."
"The function of the university is to make the student fall in love with the library."
"Journalists make me feel dirty."
"Academia is a graveyard of ideas."
Lebanese-American probabilist and The Black Swan (2007) author whose work on tail risk and antifragility reshaped finance and policy thinking. Closely associated with Benoit Mandelbrot (fractal mathematician, Taleb's mentor figure). For an intellectual contrast, see Steven Pinker, Harvard psychologist and The Better Angels of Our Nature author — Taleb has spent the 2010s publicly attacking Pinker's data-driven 'things are getting better' optimism as naive Gaussian thinking under fat-tailed reality — the loudest public statistics argument of the decade.
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