Nassim Nicholas Taleb — "Medieval man was a cog in a wheel he did not understand; modern man is a cog in …"
Medieval man was a cog in a wheel he did not understand; modern man is a cog in a complicated system he thinks he understands.
Medieval man was a cog in a wheel he did not understand; modern man is a cog in a complicated system he thinks he understands.
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"Sophisticated minds adopt simplified lifestyles."
"Avoid professions where you are paid for your opinions rather than for results."
"Modernity: we created a system where people are judged by their ability to tell stories rather than by their ability to deliver results."
"I've debated many economists who claim to specialize in risk and probability: when one takes them slightly outside their narrow focus, but within the discipline of probability, they fall apart, with t…"
"I want to live happily in a world I don't understand."
Lebanese-American probabilist and The Black Swan (2007) author whose work on tail risk and antifragility reshaped finance and policy thinking. Closely associated with Benoit Mandelbrot (fractal mathematician, Taleb's mentor figure). For an intellectual contrast, see Steven Pinker, Harvard psychologist and The Better Angels of Our Nature author — Taleb has spent the 2010s publicly attacking Pinker's data-driven 'things are getting better' optimism as naive Gaussian thinking under fat-tailed reality — the loudest public statistics argument of the decade.
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