Nassim Nicholas Taleb — "Please, don't drive a school bus blindfolded."
Please, don't drive a school bus blindfolded.
Please, don't drive a school bus blindfolded.
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"The only way to be happy is to find a way to make your work play."
"If you hear a 'prominent' economist using the word 'equilibrium', or 'normal distribution', do not argue with him; just ignore him."
"You will never convince a monkey to give you a banana by promising him limitless bananas after death in monkey heaven."
"The more complex the system, the more likely it is to fail."
"Hard work will get you a professorship or a BMW. You need both work and luck for a Booker, a Nobel or a private jet."
Lebanese-American probabilist and The Black Swan (2007) author whose work on tail risk and antifragility reshaped finance and policy thinking. Closely associated with Benoit Mandelbrot (fractal mathematician, Taleb's mentor figure). For an intellectual contrast, see Steven Pinker, Harvard psychologist and The Better Angels of Our Nature author — Taleb has spent the 2010s publicly attacking Pinker's data-driven 'things are getting better' optimism as naive Gaussian thinking under fat-tailed reality — the loudest public statistics argument of the decade.
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