Nassim Nicholas Taleb — "The general public has a hard time distinguishing between the truth and a well-t…"
The general public has a hard time distinguishing between the truth and a well-told story.
The general public has a hard time distinguishing between the truth and a well-told story.
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"The more you talk, the less people listen."
"Thinking is for showing off."
"Be polite, but ignore comments, praise, and criticism from people you wouldn't hire."
"The greatest lesson of my life is that I never learned from my mistakes. I only learned from my victories."
"Prediction is a fool's errand."
Lebanese-American probabilist and The Black Swan (2007) author whose work on tail risk and antifragility reshaped finance and policy thinking. Closely associated with Benoit Mandelbrot (fractal mathematician, Taleb's mentor figure). For an intellectual contrast, see Steven Pinker, Harvard psychologist and The Better Angels of Our Nature author — Taleb has spent the 2010s publicly attacking Pinker's data-driven 'things are getting better' optimism as naive Gaussian thinking under fat-tailed reality — the loudest public statistics argument of the decade.
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