Nassim Nicholas Taleb — "The more you try to control things, the more they control you."
The more you try to control things, the more they control you.
The more you try to control things, the more they control you.
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"The problem with smart people is that they think they can outsmart randomness."
"The more data you have, the more likely you are to find spurious correlations."
"A BS detection heuristic would be to use education in reverse: hire, conditional on an equal set of skills, the person with the least label-oriented education. In addition, people who didn't go to Har…"
"Never trust a man who needs a subtitle for his job."
"The opposite of courage in our society is not cowardice, but conformity."
Lebanese-American probabilist and The Black Swan (2007) author whose work on tail risk and antifragility reshaped finance and policy thinking. Closely associated with Benoit Mandelbrot (fractal mathematician, Taleb's mentor figure). For an intellectual contrast, see Steven Pinker, Harvard psychologist and The Better Angels of Our Nature author — Taleb has spent the 2010s publicly attacking Pinker's data-driven 'things are getting better' optimism as naive Gaussian thinking under fat-tailed reality — the loudest public statistics argument of the decade.
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