Nassim Nicholas Taleb — "The more you try to predict the future, the more you are fooled by randomness."
The more you try to predict the future, the more you are fooled by randomness.
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More from Nassim Nicholas Taleb
"The problem with conventional education is that it tries to teach you what to think, not how to think."
"Looks like the only people who do not think that economists are bullshitters are economists."
"Academia is to knowledge what prostitution is to love."
"If you're busy at work odds are you will eventually be replaced by a robot."
"They wouldn't listen to me. So I decided, to hell with them, I'll take their money instead."
About Nassim Nicholas Taleb (born 1960)
Lebanese-American probabilist and The Black Swan (2007) author whose work on tail risk and antifragility reshaped finance and policy thinking. Closely associated with Benoit Mandelbrot (fractal mathematician, Taleb's mentor figure). For an intellectual contrast, see Steven Pinker, Harvard psychologist and The Better Angels of Our Nature author — Taleb has spent the 2010s publicly attacking Pinker's data-driven 'things are getting better' optimism as naive Gaussian thinking under fat-tailed reality — the loudest public statistics argument of the decade.