Nassim Nicholas Taleb — "The only way to learn is by doing."
The only way to learn is by doing.
The only way to learn is by doing.
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"Don't cross a river if it is four feet deep on average."
"The most annoying trait in people is when they mistake their intellectual deficits for moral superiority."
"The best way to predict the future is to create it."
"The more data you have, the more likely you are to find spurious correlations."
"People are much less interested in what you are trying to show them than in what you are trying to hide."
Lebanese-American probabilist and The Black Swan (2007) author whose work on tail risk and antifragility reshaped finance and policy thinking. Closely associated with Benoit Mandelbrot (fractal mathematician, Taleb's mentor figure). For an intellectual contrast, see Steven Pinker, Harvard psychologist and The Better Angels of Our Nature author — Taleb has spent the 2010s publicly attacking Pinker's data-driven 'things are getting better' optimism as naive Gaussian thinking under fat-tailed reality — the loudest public statistics argument of the decade.
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