Nassim Nicholas Taleb — "The problem with experts is that they are so good at their field that they forge…"
The problem with experts is that they are so good at their field that they forget what it's like to be a beginner.
The problem with experts is that they are so good at their field that they forget what it's like to be a beginner.
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"The more you try to optimize, the more fragile you become."
"I trust prostitutes more than bankers."
"You will never convince a monkey to give you a banana by promising him limitless bananas after death in monkey heaven."
"The greatest enemy of knowledge is not ignorance, it is the illusion of knowledge."
"Beware of people who always agree with you."
Lebanese-American probabilist and The Black Swan (2007) author whose work on tail risk and antifragility reshaped finance and policy thinking. Closely associated with Benoit Mandelbrot (fractal mathematician, Taleb's mentor figure). For an intellectual contrast, see Steven Pinker, Harvard psychologist and The Better Angels of Our Nature author — Taleb has spent the 2010s publicly attacking Pinker's data-driven 'things are getting better' optimism as naive Gaussian thinking under fat-tailed reality — the loudest public statistics argument of the decade.
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