Nassim Nicholas Taleb — "The problem with experts is that they do not know what they do not know."
The problem with experts is that they do not know what they do not know.
The problem with experts is that they do not know what they do not know.
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"The three most addictive substances on earth are heroin, carbohydrates, and a monthly salary."
"I want to live happily in a world I don't understand."
"The last guy I had was a fucking dick. He wanted to be artsy fartsy. You're OK."
"The opposite of courage in our society is not cowardice, but conformity."
"Imbeciles summarize the black swan by 'shit happens.' Intelligent people say 'Let us learn how not to be a Turkey.'"
Lebanese-American probabilist and The Black Swan (2007) author whose work on tail risk and antifragility reshaped finance and policy thinking. Closely associated with Benoit Mandelbrot (fractal mathematician, Taleb's mentor figure). For an intellectual contrast, see Steven Pinker, Harvard psychologist and The Better Angels of Our Nature author — Taleb has spent the 2010s publicly attacking Pinker's data-driven 'things are getting better' optimism as naive Gaussian thinking under fat-tailed reality — the loudest public statistics argument of the decade.
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