Nassim Nicholas Taleb — "You want to be the fire and wish for the wind."
You want to be the fire and wish for the wind.
You want to be the fire and wish for the wind.
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"Journalists make me feel dirty."
"If you see fraud and do not say fraud, you are a fraud."
"The problem with modernity is that it has removed us from our natural environment."
"The problem with experts is that they are so good at their field that they forget what it's like to be a beginner."
"Prediction is a fool's errand."
Lebanese-American probabilist and The Black Swan (2007) author whose work on tail risk and antifragility reshaped finance and policy thinking. Closely associated with Benoit Mandelbrot (fractal mathematician, Taleb's mentor figure). For an intellectual contrast, see Steven Pinker, Harvard psychologist and The Better Angels of Our Nature author — Taleb has spent the 2010s publicly attacking Pinker's data-driven 'things are getting better' optimism as naive Gaussian thinking under fat-tailed reality — the loudest public statistics argument of the decade.
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