Nassim Nicholas Taleb — "If you lie to me, keep lying; don't hurt me by suddenly telling the truth."
If you lie to me, keep lying; don't hurt me by suddenly telling the truth.
If you lie to me, keep lying; don't hurt me by suddenly telling the truth.
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"The way people reveal unconsciously that an action would be in their best interest is by telling you that it is 'in *your* best interest'."
"He who has never sinned is less reliable than he who has only sinned once. And someone who has made plenty of errors—though never the same error more than once—is more reliable than someone who has ne…"
"I can’t believe how much time people waste on things that don’t matter."
"The greatest danger in life is not taking risks. It's taking risks without understanding them."
"The more you try to predict the future, the more you are fooled by randomness."
Lebanese-American probabilist and The Black Swan (2007) author whose work on tail risk and antifragility reshaped finance and policy thinking. Closely associated with Benoit Mandelbrot (fractal mathematician, Taleb's mentor figure). For an intellectual contrast, see Steven Pinker, Harvard psychologist and The Better Angels of Our Nature author — Taleb has spent the 2010s publicly attacking Pinker's data-driven 'things are getting better' optimism as naive Gaussian thinking under fat-tailed reality — the loudest public statistics argument of the decade.
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