Nassim Nicholas Taleb — "Never trust a statistician."
Never trust a statistician.
Never trust a statistician.
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"The world is divided into two types of people: those who divide the world into two types of people, and those who don't."
"Beware of people who are always happy."
"You want to be the fire and wish for the wind."
"The more data you have, the more likely you are to find spurious correlations."
"The more you try to please everyone, the more you please no one."
Lebanese-American probabilist and The Black Swan (2007) author whose work on tail risk and antifragility reshaped finance and policy thinking. Closely associated with Benoit Mandelbrot (fractal mathematician, Taleb's mentor figure). For an intellectual contrast, see Steven Pinker, Harvard psychologist and The Better Angels of Our Nature author — Taleb has spent the 2010s publicly attacking Pinker's data-driven 'things are getting better' optimism as naive Gaussian thinking under fat-tailed reality — the loudest public statistics argument of the decade.
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