Nassim Nicholas Taleb — "Never trust anyone who doesn't drink alcohol."
Never trust anyone who doesn't drink alcohol.
Never trust anyone who doesn't drink alcohol.
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"The way people reveal unconsciously that an action would be in their best interest is by telling you that it is 'in *your* best interest'."
"Never trust a man who needs a subtitle for his job."
"If you lie to me, keep lying; don't hurt me by suddenly telling the truth."
"Those with brains and no balls become mathematicians, those with balls and no brains join the mafia, those with no balls and no brains become economists, and those with balls and brains become entrepr…"
"So long as you see the picture of Larry Summers going to Davos, you have to stay short U.S. Treasuries for another year. It means they [the Obama administration] don't know what's going on."
Lebanese-American probabilist and The Black Swan (2007) author whose work on tail risk and antifragility reshaped finance and policy thinking. Closely associated with Benoit Mandelbrot (fractal mathematician, Taleb's mentor figure). For an intellectual contrast, see Steven Pinker, Harvard psychologist and The Better Angels of Our Nature author — Taleb has spent the 2010s publicly attacking Pinker's data-driven 'things are getting better' optimism as naive Gaussian thinking under fat-tailed reality — the loudest public statistics argument of the decade.
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