Nassim Nicholas Taleb — "Never trust anyone who doesn't drink alcohol."
Never trust anyone who doesn't drink alcohol.
Never trust anyone who doesn't drink alcohol.
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"If you want to annoy a poet, explain his poetry."
"The world is more random than we think, and we are more fragile than we think."
"The only way to learn is by doing."
"You will never convince a monkey to give you a banana by promising him limitless bananas after death in monkey heaven."
"To understand the world, you must be a generalist. To make a living, you must be a specialist."
Lebanese-American probabilist and The Black Swan (2007) author whose work on tail risk and antifragility reshaped finance and policy thinking. Closely associated with Benoit Mandelbrot (fractal mathematician, Taleb's mentor figure). For an intellectual contrast, see Steven Pinker, Harvard psychologist and The Better Angels of Our Nature author — Taleb has spent the 2010s publicly attacking Pinker's data-driven 'things are getting better' optimism as naive Gaussian thinking under fat-tailed reality — the loudest public statistics argument of the decade.
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