Nassim Nicholas Taleb — "The problem with 'experts' is that they're often optimized for telling a good st…"
The problem with 'experts' is that they're often optimized for telling a good story, not for accurate prediction.
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More from Nassim Nicholas Taleb
"I want to live happily in a world I don't understand."
"The world is more random than we think, and we are more fragile than we think."
"The only true wisdom is in knowing you know nothing."
"I wonder if anyone ever measured the time it takes, at a party, before a mildly successful stranger who went to Harvard makes others aware of it."
"The more you try to optimize, the more fragile you become."
About Nassim Nicholas Taleb (born 1960)
Lebanese-American probabilist and The Black Swan (2007) author whose work on tail risk and antifragility reshaped finance and policy thinking. Closely associated with Benoit Mandelbrot (fractal mathematician, Taleb's mentor figure). For an intellectual contrast, see Steven Pinker, Harvard psychologist and The Better Angels of Our Nature author — Taleb has spent the 2010s publicly attacking Pinker's data-driven 'things are getting better' optimism as naive Gaussian thinking under fat-tailed reality — the loudest public statistics argument of the decade.