Nassim Nicholas Taleb — "The world is more random than we think, and we are more fragile than we think."
The world is more random than we think, and we are more fragile than we think.
The world is more random than we think, and we are more fragile than we think.
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"The most overrated virtue is intelligence. The most underrated virtue is courage."
"Modern life is a product of people who don't understand probability."
"So long as you see the picture of Larry Summers going to Davos, you have to stay short U.S. Treasuries for another year. It means they [the Obama administration] don't know what's going on."
"The most annoying trait in people is when they mistake their intellectual deficits for moral superiority."
"The only way to learn is by doing."
Lebanese-American probabilist and The Black Swan (2007) author whose work on tail risk and antifragility reshaped finance and policy thinking. Closely associated with Benoit Mandelbrot (fractal mathematician, Taleb's mentor figure). For an intellectual contrast, see Steven Pinker, Harvard psychologist and The Better Angels of Our Nature author — Taleb has spent the 2010s publicly attacking Pinker's data-driven 'things are getting better' optimism as naive Gaussian thinking under fat-tailed reality — the loudest public statistics argument of the decade.
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