Nassim Nicholas Taleb — "To be a good philosopher, you need to be a good bullshit detector."
To be a good philosopher, you need to be a good bullshit detector.
To be a good philosopher, you need to be a good bullshit detector.
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"Never take investment advice from someone who has to work for a living."
"The more you try to predict the future, the more you are fooled by randomness."
"The general public has a hard time distinguishing between the truth and a well-told story."
"The problem with experts is that they do not know what they do not know."
"I trust prostitutes more than bankers."
Lebanese-American probabilist and The Black Swan (2007) author whose work on tail risk and antifragility reshaped finance and policy thinking. Closely associated with Benoit Mandelbrot (fractal mathematician, Taleb's mentor figure). For an intellectual contrast, see Steven Pinker, Harvard psychologist and The Better Angels of Our Nature author — Taleb has spent the 2010s publicly attacking Pinker's data-driven 'things are getting better' optimism as naive Gaussian thinking under fat-tailed reality — the loudest public statistics argument of the decade.
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