Nassim Nicholas Taleb — "The greatest lesson of my life is that I never learned from my mistakes. I only …"
The greatest lesson of my life is that I never learned from my mistakes. I only learned from my victories.
The greatest lesson of my life is that I never learned from my mistakes. I only learned from my victories.
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"Never trust a statistician."
"If you hear a 'prominent' economist using the word 'equilibrium', or 'normal distribution', do not argue with him; just ignore him."
"The most important quality for a scientist is to be willing to say 'I don't know.'"
"CNBC journalists are idiots."
"The more you try to predict the future, the more you are fooled by randomness."
Lebanese-American probabilist and The Black Swan (2007) author whose work on tail risk and antifragility reshaped finance and policy thinking. Closely associated with Benoit Mandelbrot (fractal mathematician, Taleb's mentor figure). For an intellectual contrast, see Steven Pinker, Harvard psychologist and The Better Angels of Our Nature author — Taleb has spent the 2010s publicly attacking Pinker's data-driven 'things are getting better' optimism as naive Gaussian thinking under fat-tailed reality — the loudest public statistics argument of the decade.
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