Nassim Nicholas Taleb — "Never trust a man who wears a tie to a casual event."
Never trust a man who wears a tie to a casual event.
Never trust a man who wears a tie to a casual event.
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"Bureaucracy is a tax on the intelligent."
"The most overrated virtue is intelligence. The most underrated virtue is courage."
"Hotel heuristic: In a new hotel, always reject the first room they give you."
"If you lie to me, keep lying; don't hurt me by suddenly telling the truth."
"Never trust a man who reads the newspaper to get information. Trust the one who reads it to find out what opinions are being pushed."
Lebanese-American probabilist and The Black Swan (2007) author whose work on tail risk and antifragility reshaped finance and policy thinking. Closely associated with Benoit Mandelbrot (fractal mathematician, Taleb's mentor figure). For an intellectual contrast, see Steven Pinker, Harvard psychologist and The Better Angels of Our Nature author — Taleb has spent the 2010s publicly attacking Pinker's data-driven 'things are getting better' optimism as naive Gaussian thinking under fat-tailed reality — the loudest public statistics argument of the decade.
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