Nassim Nicholas Taleb — "Never trust a statistician."
Never trust a statistician.
Never trust a statistician.
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"The more complex the system, the more likely it is to fail."
"Thinking is for showing off."
"The difference between a philosopher and a fool is that the philosopher knows he is a fool."
"Those with brains and no balls become mathematicians, those with balls and no brains join the mafia, those with no balls and no brains become economists, and those with balls and brains become entrepr…"
"Karl Marx, a visionary, figured out that you can control a slave much better by convincing him he is an employee."
Lebanese-American probabilist and The Black Swan (2007) author whose work on tail risk and antifragility reshaped finance and policy thinking. Closely associated with Benoit Mandelbrot (fractal mathematician, Taleb's mentor figure). For an intellectual contrast, see Steven Pinker, Harvard psychologist and The Better Angels of Our Nature author — Taleb has spent the 2010s publicly attacking Pinker's data-driven 'things are getting better' optimism as naive Gaussian thinking under fat-tailed reality — the loudest public statistics argument of the decade.
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