Nassim Nicholas Taleb — "Please, don't drive a school bus blindfolded."
Please, don't drive a school bus blindfolded.
Please, don't drive a school bus blindfolded.
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"Bureaucracy is a construction by which a person is conveniently separated from the consequences of his or her actions."
"Hotel heuristic: In a new hotel, always reject the first room they give you."
"The problem with experts is that they are so good at their field that they forget what it's like to be a beginner."
"I can’t believe how much time people waste on things that don’t matter."
"An ad hominem attack against an individual, not against an idea, is highly flattering. It indicates that the person does not have anything intelligent to say about your message."
Lebanese-American probabilist and The Black Swan (2007) author whose work on tail risk and antifragility reshaped finance and policy thinking. Closely associated with Benoit Mandelbrot (fractal mathematician, Taleb's mentor figure). For an intellectual contrast, see Steven Pinker, Harvard psychologist and The Better Angels of Our Nature author — Taleb has spent the 2010s publicly attacking Pinker's data-driven 'things are getting better' optimism as naive Gaussian thinking under fat-tailed reality — the loudest public statistics argument of the decade.
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