Nassim Nicholas Taleb — "So long as you see the picture of Larry Summers going to Davos, you have to stay…"

So long as you see the picture of Larry Summers going to Davos, you have to stay short U.S. Treasuries for another year. It means they [the Obama administration] don't know what's going on.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb — Nassim Nicholas Taleb Contemporary · Black Swan theory

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About Nassim Nicholas Taleb (born 1960)

Lebanese-American probabilist and The Black Swan (2007) author whose work on tail risk and antifragility reshaped finance and policy thinking. Closely associated with Benoit Mandelbrot (fractal mathematician, Taleb's mentor figure). For an intellectual contrast, see Steven Pinker, Harvard psychologist and The Better Angels of Our Nature author — Taleb has spent the 2010s publicly attacking Pinker's data-driven 'things are getting better' optimism as naive Gaussian thinking under fat-tailed reality — the loudest public statistics argument of the decade.

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Comment on financial policy

Date: 2009

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