Nassim Nicholas Taleb — "The more you try to be rational, the more irrational you become."
The more you try to be rational, the more irrational you become.
The more you try to be rational, the more irrational you become.
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"Never engage in a discussion with a bureaucrat. You will lose your soul."
"CNBC journalists are idiots."
"I trust prostitutes more than bankers."
"I suspect that the readiest way to determine a person's intelligence is to look at the number of his enemies."
"The most dangerous people in the world are the ones who think they know what they’re doing."
Lebanese-American probabilist and The Black Swan (2007) author whose work on tail risk and antifragility reshaped finance and policy thinking. Closely associated with Benoit Mandelbrot (fractal mathematician, Taleb's mentor figure). For an intellectual contrast, see Steven Pinker, Harvard psychologist and The Better Angels of Our Nature author — Taleb has spent the 2010s publicly attacking Pinker's data-driven 'things are getting better' optimism as naive Gaussian thinking under fat-tailed reality — the loudest public statistics argument of the decade.
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