Nassim Nicholas Taleb — "If you want to annoy a academic, tell him that his work is 'interesting.'"
If you want to annoy a academic, tell him that his work is 'interesting.'
If you want to annoy a academic, tell him that his work is 'interesting.'
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"He who has never sinned is less reliable than he who has only sinned once. And someone who has made plenty of errors—though never the same error more than once—is more reliable than someone who has ne…"
"I've debated many economists who claim to specialize in risk and probability: when one takes them slightly outside their narrow focus, but within the discipline of probability, they fall apart, with t…"
"People are much less interested in what you are trying to show them than in what you are trying to hide."
"I want to live happily in a world I don't understand."
"The problem with smart people is that they think they can outsmart randomness."
Lebanese-American probabilist and The Black Swan (2007) author whose work on tail risk and antifragility reshaped finance and policy thinking. Closely associated with Benoit Mandelbrot (fractal mathematician, Taleb's mentor figure). For an intellectual contrast, see Steven Pinker, Harvard psychologist and The Better Angels of Our Nature author — Taleb has spent the 2010s publicly attacking Pinker's data-driven 'things are getting better' optimism as naive Gaussian thinking under fat-tailed reality — the loudest public statistics argument of the decade.
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