Nassim Nicholas Taleb — "The most important quality for a scientist is to be willing to say 'I don't know…"
The most important quality for a scientist is to be willing to say 'I don't know.'
The most important quality for a scientist is to be willing to say 'I don't know.'
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"A BS detection heuristic would be to use education in reverse: hire, conditional on an equal set of skills, the person with the least label-oriented education. In addition, people who didn't go to Har…"
"Wit seduces by signaling intelligence without nerdiness."
"The problem with 'experts' is that they're often optimized for telling a good story, not for accurate prediction."
"Don't cross a river if it is four feet deep on average."
"If you see fraud and do not say fraud, you are a fraud."
Lebanese-American probabilist and The Black Swan (2007) author whose work on tail risk and antifragility reshaped finance and policy thinking. Closely associated with Benoit Mandelbrot (fractal mathematician, Taleb's mentor figure). For an intellectual contrast, see Steven Pinker, Harvard psychologist and The Better Angels of Our Nature author — Taleb has spent the 2010s publicly attacking Pinker's data-driven 'things are getting better' optimism as naive Gaussian thinking under fat-tailed reality — the loudest public statistics argument of the decade.
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