Nassim Nicholas Taleb — "Never engage in a discussion with a bureaucrat. You will lose your soul."
Never engage in a discussion with a bureaucrat. You will lose your soul.
Never engage in a discussion with a bureaucrat. You will lose your soul.
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"The problem with 'experts' is that they're often optimized for telling a good story, not for accurate prediction."
"The way people reveal unconsciously that an action would be in their best interest is by telling you that it is 'in *your* best interest'."
"Business folk are all scoundrels."
"The good life is simple. Don't f*ck it up by making it complicated."
"The only way to learn is by doing."
Lebanese-American probabilist and The Black Swan (2007) author whose work on tail risk and antifragility reshaped finance and policy thinking. Closely associated with Benoit Mandelbrot (fractal mathematician, Taleb's mentor figure). For an intellectual contrast, see Steven Pinker, Harvard psychologist and The Better Angels of Our Nature author — Taleb has spent the 2010s publicly attacking Pinker's data-driven 'things are getting better' optimism as naive Gaussian thinking under fat-tailed reality — the loudest public statistics argument of the decade.
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