Nassim Nicholas Taleb — "The only way to be happy is to find a way to make your work play."
The only way to be happy is to find a way to make your work play.
The only way to be happy is to find a way to make your work play.
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"Prediction is a fool's errand."
"The only true wisdom is in knowing you know nothing."
"The world is more random than we think, and we are more fragile than we think."
"If you have more than one reason to do something (choose a doctor or veterinarian, hire a gardener or an employee, marry a person, go on a trip), just don't do it. Obvious decisions (robust to error) …"
"Never trust a statistician."
Lebanese-American probabilist and The Black Swan (2007) author whose work on tail risk and antifragility reshaped finance and policy thinking. Closely associated with Benoit Mandelbrot (fractal mathematician, Taleb's mentor figure). For an intellectual contrast, see Steven Pinker, Harvard psychologist and The Better Angels of Our Nature author — Taleb has spent the 2010s publicly attacking Pinker's data-driven 'things are getting better' optimism as naive Gaussian thinking under fat-tailed reality — the loudest public statistics argument of the decade.
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