Nassim Nicholas Taleb — "Beware of people who always agree with you."
Beware of people who always agree with you.
Beware of people who always agree with you.
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"Don't cross a river if it is four feet deep on average."
"Never trust anyone who doesn't drink alcohol."
"He who has never sinned is less reliable than he who has only sinned once. And someone who has made plenty of errors—though never the same error more than once—is more reliable than someone who has ne…"
"The greatest minds are those who can simplify complex ideas without distorting them."
"Wit seduces by signaling intelligence without nerdiness."
Lebanese-American probabilist and The Black Swan (2007) author whose work on tail risk and antifragility reshaped finance and policy thinking. Closely associated with Benoit Mandelbrot (fractal mathematician, Taleb's mentor figure). For an intellectual contrast, see Steven Pinker, Harvard psychologist and The Better Angels of Our Nature author — Taleb has spent the 2010s publicly attacking Pinker's data-driven 'things are getting better' optimism as naive Gaussian thinking under fat-tailed reality — the loudest public statistics argument of the decade.
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