Nassim Nicholas Taleb — "Medieval man was a cog in a wheel he did not understand; modern man is a cog in …"
Medieval man was a cog in a wheel he did not understand; modern man is a cog in a complicated system he thinks he understands.
Medieval man was a cog in a wheel he did not understand; modern man is a cog in a complicated system he thinks he understands.
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"Intellect without balls is like a racecar without tires."
"The more you talk, the less people listen."
"The greatest minds are those who can simplify complex ideas without distorting them."
"The more complex the system, the more likely it is to fail."
"Prediction is a fool's errand."
Lebanese-American probabilist and The Black Swan (2007) author whose work on tail risk and antifragility reshaped finance and policy thinking. Closely associated with Benoit Mandelbrot (fractal mathematician, Taleb's mentor figure). For an intellectual contrast, see Steven Pinker, Harvard psychologist and The Better Angels of Our Nature author — Taleb has spent the 2010s publicly attacking Pinker's data-driven 'things are getting better' optimism as naive Gaussian thinking under fat-tailed reality — the loudest public statistics argument of the decade.
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