Nassim Nicholas Taleb — "Prediction is a fool's errand."
Prediction is a fool's errand.
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More from Nassim Nicholas Taleb
"The more you try to please everyone, the more you please no one."
"Never trust a statistician."
"The most dangerous people in the world are those who have nothing to lose."
"Never trust a statistician who doesn't gamble."
"dessert... in his opinion they're 'crap' and he will only eat Lebanese pastries."
About Nassim Nicholas Taleb (born 1960)
Lebanese-American probabilist and The Black Swan (2007) author whose work on tail risk and antifragility reshaped finance and policy thinking. Closely associated with Benoit Mandelbrot (fractal mathematician, Taleb's mentor figure). For an intellectual contrast, see Steven Pinker, Harvard psychologist and The Better Angels of Our Nature author — Taleb has spent the 2010s publicly attacking Pinker's data-driven 'things are getting better' optimism as naive Gaussian thinking under fat-tailed reality — the loudest public statistics argument of the decade.