Nassim Nicholas Taleb — "Modern life is a product of people who don't understand probability."
Modern life is a product of people who don't understand probability.
Modern life is a product of people who don't understand probability.
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"The world is divided into two types of people: those who divide the world into two types of people, and those who don't."
"Virtue is when the income you wish to show the tax agency exceeds what you wish to show your neighbor."
"Never trust a politician."
"The more you try to predict the future, the more you are fooled by randomness."
"The three most harmful addictions are heroin, carbohydrates, and a monthly salary."
Lebanese-American probabilist and The Black Swan (2007) author whose work on tail risk and antifragility reshaped finance and policy thinking. Closely associated with Benoit Mandelbrot (fractal mathematician, Taleb's mentor figure). For an intellectual contrast, see Steven Pinker, Harvard psychologist and The Better Angels of Our Nature author — Taleb has spent the 2010s publicly attacking Pinker's data-driven 'things are getting better' optimism as naive Gaussian thinking under fat-tailed reality — the loudest public statistics argument of the decade.
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