Nassim Nicholas Taleb — "The more you try to predict the future, the more you are fooled by randomness."
The more you try to predict the future, the more you are fooled by randomness.
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More from Nassim Nicholas Taleb
"You can tell how uninteresting a person is by asking him whom he finds interesting."
"I want to live happily in a world I don't understand."
"Never trust a statistician."
"The curse of modernity is that we are increasingly populated by a class of people who are better at explaining than understanding, or better at explaining than doing."
"The world is divided into two types of people: those who divide the world into two types of people, and those who don't."
About Nassim Nicholas Taleb (born 1960)
Lebanese-American probabilist and The Black Swan (2007) author whose work on tail risk and antifragility reshaped finance and policy thinking. Closely associated with Benoit Mandelbrot (fractal mathematician, Taleb's mentor figure). For an intellectual contrast, see Steven Pinker, Harvard psychologist and The Better Angels of Our Nature author — Taleb has spent the 2010s publicly attacking Pinker's data-driven 'things are getting better' optimism as naive Gaussian thinking under fat-tailed reality — the loudest public statistics argument of the decade.