Nassim Nicholas Taleb — "Never ask a barber if you need a haircut."
Never ask a barber if you need a haircut.
Never ask a barber if you need a haircut.
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"Academia is a large collective fraud."
"The three most addictive substances on earth are heroin, carbohydrates, and a monthly salary."
"If you want to annoy a poet, explain his poetry."
"Modern life is a product of people who don't understand probability."
"Avoid people who are always right."
Lebanese-American probabilist and The Black Swan (2007) author whose work on tail risk and antifragility reshaped finance and policy thinking. Closely associated with Benoit Mandelbrot (fractal mathematician, Taleb's mentor figure). For an intellectual contrast, see Steven Pinker, Harvard psychologist and The Better Angels of Our Nature author — Taleb has spent the 2010s publicly attacking Pinker's data-driven 'things are getting better' optimism as naive Gaussian thinking under fat-tailed reality — the loudest public statistics argument of the decade.
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