Nassim Nicholas Taleb — "People focus on role models; it is more effective to find antimodels—people you …"
People focus on role models; it is more effective to find antimodels—people you don't want to resemble when you grow up.
People focus on role models; it is more effective to find antimodels—people you don't want to resemble when you grow up.
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"Science is what you know. Philosophy is what you don't know."
"So long as you see the picture of Larry Summers going to Davos, you have to stay short U.S. Treasuries for another year. It means they [the Obama administration] don't know what's going on."
"The curse of modernity is that we are increasingly populated by a class of people who are better at explaining than understanding, or better at explaining than doing."
"You exist if and only if you are free to do things without a visible economic gain."
"The more data you have, the more likely you are to find spurious correlations."
Lebanese-American probabilist and The Black Swan (2007) author whose work on tail risk and antifragility reshaped finance and policy thinking. Closely associated with Benoit Mandelbrot (fractal mathematician, Taleb's mentor figure). For an intellectual contrast, see Steven Pinker, Harvard psychologist and The Better Angels of Our Nature author — Taleb has spent the 2010s publicly attacking Pinker's data-driven 'things are getting better' optimism as naive Gaussian thinking under fat-tailed reality — the loudest public statistics argument of the decade.
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