Nassim Nicholas Taleb — "The problem with experts is that they do not know what they do not know."
The problem with experts is that they do not know what they do not know.
The problem with experts is that they do not know what they do not know.
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"He who has never sinned is less reliable than he who has only sinned once. And someone who has made plenty of errors—though never the same error more than once—is more reliable than someone who has ne…"
"The more you try to be rational, the more irrational you become."
"Wit seduces by signaling intelligence without nerdiness."
"The difference between a charlatan and a true philosopher is that the charlatan tries to impress you with his knowledge, while the philosopher tries to make you think."
"The intellectual is someone who uses big words to hide small ideas."
Lebanese-American probabilist and The Black Swan (2007) author whose work on tail risk and antifragility reshaped finance and policy thinking. Closely associated with Benoit Mandelbrot (fractal mathematician, Taleb's mentor figure). For an intellectual contrast, see Steven Pinker, Harvard psychologist and The Better Angels of Our Nature author — Taleb has spent the 2010s publicly attacking Pinker's data-driven 'things are getting better' optimism as naive Gaussian thinking under fat-tailed reality — the loudest public statistics argument of the decade.
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