Nassim Nicholas Taleb — "The problem with smart people is that they think they can outsmart randomness."
The problem with smart people is that they think they can outsmart randomness.
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More from Nassim Nicholas Taleb
"Never trust a man who wears a tie."
"The more you learn, the more you realize how little you know."
"So long as you see the picture of Larry Summers going to Davos, you have to stay short U.S. Treasuries for another year. It means they [the Obama administration] don't know what's going on."
"The problem with modernity is that we are building a world we don’t understand."
"The best way to predict the future is to create it."
About Nassim Nicholas Taleb (born 1960)
Lebanese-American probabilist and The Black Swan (2007) author whose work on tail risk and antifragility reshaped finance and policy thinking. Closely associated with Benoit Mandelbrot (fractal mathematician, Taleb's mentor figure). For an intellectual contrast, see Steven Pinker, Harvard psychologist and The Better Angels of Our Nature author — Taleb has spent the 2010s publicly attacking Pinker's data-driven 'things are getting better' optimism as naive Gaussian thinking under fat-tailed reality — the loudest public statistics argument of the decade.
Details
Book: Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets
Date: 2001
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