Nassim Nicholas Taleb — "The world is more random than we think, and we are more fragile than we think."
The world is more random than we think, and we are more fragile than we think.
The world is more random than we think, and we are more fragile than we think.
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"You can tell how uninteresting a person is by asking him whom he finds interesting."
"The problem with smart people is they think they know everything."
"People focus on role models; it is more effective to find antimodels—people you don't want to resemble when you grow up."
"My major hobby is teasing people who take themselves and the quality of their knowledge too seriously."
"If you want to annoy a academic, tell him that his work is 'interesting.'"
Lebanese-American probabilist and The Black Swan (2007) author whose work on tail risk and antifragility reshaped finance and policy thinking. Closely associated with Benoit Mandelbrot (fractal mathematician, Taleb's mentor figure). For an intellectual contrast, see Steven Pinker, Harvard psychologist and The Better Angels of Our Nature author — Taleb has spent the 2010s publicly attacking Pinker's data-driven 'things are getting better' optimism as naive Gaussian thinking under fat-tailed reality — the loudest public statistics argument of the decade.
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