Nassim Nicholas Taleb — "You will never convince a monkey to give you a banana by promising him limitless…"
You will never convince a monkey to give you a banana by promising him limitless bananas after death in monkey heaven.
You will never convince a monkey to give you a banana by promising him limitless bananas after death in monkey heaven.
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"If you hear a 'prominent' economist using the word 'equilibrium', or 'normal distribution', do not argue with him; just ignore him."
"The greatest invention of mankind is the ability to ignore things."
"The rich are not just people who have money; they are people who have options."
"The problem with smart people is that they think they can outsmart randomness."
"I want you to write down that I started wearing them [Steve Jobs turtlenecks] before he did. I want that to be known."
Lebanese-American probabilist and The Black Swan (2007) author whose work on tail risk and antifragility reshaped finance and policy thinking. Closely associated with Benoit Mandelbrot (fractal mathematician, Taleb's mentor figure). For an intellectual contrast, see Steven Pinker, Harvard psychologist and The Better Angels of Our Nature author — Taleb has spent the 2010s publicly attacking Pinker's data-driven 'things are getting better' optimism as naive Gaussian thinking under fat-tailed reality — the loudest public statistics argument of the decade.
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