Nassim Nicholas Taleb — "You will never convince a monkey to give you a banana by promising him limitless…"
You will never convince a monkey to give you a banana by promising him limitless bananas after death in monkey heaven.
You will never convince a monkey to give you a banana by promising him limitless bananas after death in monkey heaven.
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"If you're busy at work odds are you will eventually be replaced by a robot."
"The more you try to predict the future, the more you are fooled by randomness."
"The only way to be truly successful is to fail often."
"Never trust a journalist who hasn't been fired at least once."
"The problem with experts is that they do not know what they do not know."
Lebanese-American probabilist and The Black Swan (2007) author whose work on tail risk and antifragility reshaped finance and policy thinking. Closely associated with Benoit Mandelbrot (fractal mathematician, Taleb's mentor figure). For an intellectual contrast, see Steven Pinker, Harvard psychologist and The Better Angels of Our Nature author — Taleb has spent the 2010s publicly attacking Pinker's data-driven 'things are getting better' optimism as naive Gaussian thinking under fat-tailed reality — the loudest public statistics argument of the decade.
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