Nassim Nicholas Taleb — "Avoid professions where you are paid for your opinions rather than for results."
Avoid professions where you are paid for your opinions rather than for results.
Avoid professions where you are paid for your opinions rather than for results.
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"People focus on role models; it is more effective to find antimodels—people you don't want to resemble when you grow up."
"Avoid people who are always right."
"Education makes the wise slightly wiser, but it makes the fool vastly more dangerous."
"Never trust a man who wears a tie to a casual event."
"Looks like the only people who do not think that economists are bullshitters are economists."
Lebanese-American probabilist and The Black Swan (2007) author whose work on tail risk and antifragility reshaped finance and policy thinking. Closely associated with Benoit Mandelbrot (fractal mathematician, Taleb's mentor figure). For an intellectual contrast, see Steven Pinker, Harvard psychologist and The Better Angels of Our Nature author — Taleb has spent the 2010s publicly attacking Pinker's data-driven 'things are getting better' optimism as naive Gaussian thinking under fat-tailed reality — the loudest public statistics argument of the decade.
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