Nassim Nicholas Taleb — "If you see fraud and do not say fraud, you are a fraud."
If you see fraud and do not say fraud, you are a fraud.
If you see fraud and do not say fraud, you are a fraud.
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"The problem with smart people is that they think they can outsmart randomness."
"Never trust a statistician."
"Never trust a man who reads the newspaper to get information. Trust the one who reads it to find out what opinions are being pushed."
"People are much less interested in what you are trying to show them than in what you are trying to hide."
"The most important quality for a scientist is to be willing to say 'I don't know.'"
Lebanese-American probabilist and The Black Swan (2007) author whose work on tail risk and antifragility reshaped finance and policy thinking. Closely associated with Benoit Mandelbrot (fractal mathematician, Taleb's mentor figure). For an intellectual contrast, see Steven Pinker, Harvard psychologist and The Better Angels of Our Nature author — Taleb has spent the 2010s publicly attacking Pinker's data-driven 'things are getting better' optimism as naive Gaussian thinking under fat-tailed reality — the loudest public statistics argument of the decade.
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