Nassim Nicholas Taleb — "Imbeciles summarize the black swan by 'shit happens.' Intelligent people say 'Le…"
Imbeciles summarize the black swan by 'shit happens.' Intelligent people say 'Let us learn how not to be a Turkey.'
Imbeciles summarize the black swan by 'shit happens.' Intelligent people say 'Let us learn how not to be a Turkey.'
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"Avoid professions where you are paid for your opinions rather than for results."
"Never get into a discussion with a person who has nothing to lose."
"Never take investment advice from someone who has to work for a living."
"You will never convince a monkey to give you a banana by promising him limitless bananas after death in monkey heaven."
"The three most harmful addictions are heroin, carbohydrates, and a monthly salary."
Lebanese-American probabilist and The Black Swan (2007) author whose work on tail risk and antifragility reshaped finance and policy thinking. Closely associated with Benoit Mandelbrot (fractal mathematician, Taleb's mentor figure). For an intellectual contrast, see Steven Pinker, Harvard psychologist and The Better Angels of Our Nature author — Taleb has spent the 2010s publicly attacking Pinker's data-driven 'things are getting better' optimism as naive Gaussian thinking under fat-tailed reality — the loudest public statistics argument of the decade.
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